Restaurant Trade Area Research

28. August 2010

NPD Says - Restaurant Traffic To NOT Keep Pace With Population Increase

Interesting report that focuses on the aging population and how that segment uses restaurants less than other age groups - more insights at the link - http://www.restaurantnews.com/us-restaurant-traffic-will-grow-less-than-population-growth-over-next-decade-reports-npd

No tipping, quality food - Fast Casual Establishes Itself as Niche Restaurant Category, According to Mintel - http://www.restaurantnews.com/fast-casual-establishes-itself-as-niche-restaurant-category-according-to-mintel/ is the real question when will the `casual’ restaurants - with tipping - change their business model? Will waiters and waitresses soon be `salaried employees’?

Firehouse CEO: Sites Thriving - http://www.swtimes.com/business/article_470f9536-aaca-11df-b0f2-001cc4c002e0.html - Comps are UP.

More aggressive price point focus of the new normal - Luby’s Introduces All You Can Eat Breakfast for Only $4.99 - http://www.restaurantnewsrelease.com/lubys-introduces-all-you-can-eat-breakfast-for-only-4-99/853387/ - and, as you know, the only segment growing is Breakfast.

More about my services can be found at www.squidoo.com/tradeareasurveys

18. August 2010

Fast Food Trading Up To Catch Customers Trading Down

The evidence is starting to pile up about one response to the new normal is that Fast Food brands should enhance the  restaurant experience available - almost regardless of price point - because in large part it is aimed at those `trading down’ from the sit-down and tip waitress at lunch segment - and at the already existing non-tip fast casual (such as a Five Guys).

Examples include Wendy’s new redone Premium Salads priced at around 6.00 - and the large variety of `Angus’ Big Burgers available at most of the major chains now. (Can Buffalo Burgers be far away?) It would also include the upscaling of Milkshakes at Chick-Fil-A and Hardee’s - to the recent bone-in BBQ of Burger King - to the upscaling, at least perception wise, to many McDonald offerings such as the yogurt choices and coffee.

These new positionings, which often include a dash of health perceptions mixed with a sprinkle of indulgence, can be fairly and profitably priced within the fast food price points compared to fast casual and especially when compared to ANY RESTAURANT THAT DEPENDS ON TIPS FOR ITS EMPLOYEES. As today’s customer, in the new normal, is no longer disregarding any `additional charges’ as frivolous.

Indeed, when today’s restaurant using customer sees a Chili’s ad about the Burgers choices (with fries) starting at 5.99 - they know that - even getting water (the continuing trade-down) - that with tax their bill will be pushing 6.50 - which with tip (can you really tip under a dollar in a sit-down environment with table cloths) would be another buck (or two to not look cheap) - making the 5.99 advertised price point, more like 7.50+ and they are still drinking water. (The 1.79 and up prices on drinks at these places do them no help perceptually either). Indeed, throw in the drink, tax, (and now a two dollar tip) and you are talking 10.00 nearly - for the cheapest 5.99 advertised price point.

And, perceptions like that - add up to Fast Food brands having some opportunity for brand extensions with good profit price points. Doing this, while retaining the `value’ and yes - even the `dollarish’ price points too. (Dollarish (things under 1.49) would be a fun positioning.)

Lastly, since the new normal could be here for years and years, expect this trend in Fast Food brands to be a continuing process as brands find profitable brand extensions once thought of as not possible or too out of character for FF. Does this mean `value sized portions’ of something as exotic as `Prime Rib’ - before you say impossible - remember, this is the new normal. Crabcakes anyone?

Here’s some thoughts of a 50 year old multi time a day FF eater - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T2H_pEFuSSo - and more about my services is right here www.squidoo.com/tradeareasurveys too.

17. August 2010

And The Survey Of 6,518 Zagat Restaurant Users Says…

Winners of the various categories are: 

Healthy Food - Subway - Mega Chain; Jason’s Deli - Large Chain

Coffee - Starbucks, Dunkin Donuts, McDonalds

Best Burger - Five Guys, In-N-Out Burger, Wendy’s

Best Fries - McDonald’s, In-N-Out Burger, Five Guys

Best Milkshake - Dairy Queen

Best Value - McDonald’s, Panera Bread

Best Drive-Thru - McDonalds

Most Popular - Subway

More details at this link - http://www.restaurantnews.com/zagat-fast-food-survey-rates-136-major-dining-chains-from-breakfast-to-burgers-dessert-to-drive-thrus/

16. August 2010

With Down Sales, KFC Franchisees Are Squawking

With second quarter sales off 7% - more and more franchisees are not confident with the new emphasis on sandwiches and grilled chicken - one decades long franchisee even said this: “Roger Eaton and his company don’t give a rat’s ass,” - http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/10_34/b4192019553596.htm?chan=magazine+channel_news+-+companies+%2B+industries much more detail at the link.

And KFC isn’t the only big name with continued lower secondquarter sales as Arby’s is once again off 7.4% and Wendy’s is off 1.7% http://www.restaurantnews.com/wendys-arbys-group-reports-2nd-quarter-2010-results/ - that said, Wendy’s/Arby’s plans expansion abroad with duel branded stores - http://www.ajc.com/business/wendys-arbys-to-open-588791.html

Meanwhile, while some chains go overseas for expansion - Chick-Fil-A plans to go into urban USA locations - http://www.ajc.com/business/chick-fil-a-plans-589960.html

And, speaking of GOING into new areas - New food-truck trend rolls into Akron - Vehicles promote fresh, unique fare, pose competition to eateries - http://www.ohio.com/news/top_stories/100353574.html making existing restaurants uneasy.

And, speaking of being uneasy in the restaurant business - Restaurants seek recipe for economic sustenance - So, with the fear of the unknown come new marketing strategies, including lots of social media and some creative pricing packages. Restaurants are also learning the value of truly connecting to the community they call home and making sure their new and regular customers are given top-notch food, delivered with a smile. - http://mddailyrecord.com/2010/08/05/restaurants-seek-recipe-for-economic-sustenance/ the bad news, of course, is that the `new normal’ is quickly becoming the new reality.

More down sales from O’Charley’s too - same-store sales at O’Charley’s company-operated restaurants declined by 7.9 percent - http://www.restaurantnews.com/ocharleys-inc-reports-results-for-the-second-quarter-of-2010/

More about my services at www.squidoo.com/tradeareasurveys

9. August 2010

Stevi B’s Pizza Celebrates Second Annual Free Pizza Day on August 19

I live only about 2.5 miles from a Stevi B’s - it’s pretty good pizza - that said, when it opened our family used to use it 3-6 tmes a year - but, it’s been 3-4 years since our last use. That said, free food can indeed bring in the old users (now nonusers) - and, IF they give that pizza to the customers as they leave - they may indeed stimulate some `take out’ business in the future. (Especially if the pizza re-heats well.) http://www.restaurantnewsrelease.com/stevi-bs-pizza-celebrates-second-annual-free-pizza-day-on-august-19/852283/ Free Food - Part of the New Normal.

(Finally) Blimpie Introduces New Lighter Stuff Menu - The Lighter Stuff menu is comprised of six deliciously healthy items, all less than 400 calories and six grams of fat. - with a celebrity endorser and all - http://www.restaurantnews.com/blimpie-introduces-new-lighter-stuff-menu/ - Just how many years ago was Jared?

“It’s Bo Time” - http://www.charlotteobserver.com/2010/07/19/1572009/bojangles-fries-up-new-ad-slogan.html - Will Bojangles new slogan live up to the impressive KFC `So Good’? Are you motivated?

Arby’s goes interactive to introduce a new 1.00 sandwich - New Web App Morphs Your Photo Into “Arby’s Junior” Character - http://www.restaurantnewsrelease.com/become-an-arbys-junior/852235/  will cutesy work? That said, the description of the sandwich sounds like a taste treat for one dollar: the Jr. Deluxe features oven-roasted, thinly sliced roast beef, topped with crisp, fresh lettuce, ripe tomato and mayo on a toasted sesame seed bun. 

And, why not try the new media when - Starbucks Tops 10 Million Facebook Fans - http://www.mediapost.com/publications/?fa=Articles.showArticle&art_aid=132008

6. August 2010

Ruby Tuesday’s Recipe for Survival Is New Menu, Look

When the term `survival’ is used concerning any restaurant chain - it is not good news - especially when trying to change the positioning to more upscale in the new normal. But, that is exactly what RT is trying to do to create some positioning difference from competitors such as  Applebees, T.G.I. Friday’s and Chili’s. Read more of the strategy here - http://www.theledger.com/article/20100722/NEWS/7225054/1001

And, as you the restaurant owner knows that the new normal means - US Restaurant Count Down by 5,204 From Last Year, Reports NPD - http://www.restaurantnews.com/us-restaurant-count-down-by-5204-from-last-year-reports-npd/ 

McDonald’s, once again, is heads and tails above the rest in effectively following the trend to fresh and fruit - Customers Go Bananas for McDonald’s New McCafé Real Fruit Smoothies - http://www.restaurantnewsrelease.com/customers-go-bananas-for-mcdonalds-new-mccafe-real-fruit-smoothies/852184/

Or, you can take this approach to new products - being outrageous - KFC’s Double Down fails to take off http://money.cnn.com/2010/07/14/news/companies/kfc_double_down/index.htm?source=yahoo_quote

Here’s another story on Wendy’s going upscale with their salads (and upscale in price) - http://www.walletpop.com/blog/2010/07/09/wendys-upgrading-salads-but-it-will-cost-you/

And, Ruby Tuesday’s is not the only casual restaurant hoping to advance in the new normal - Can O’Charley’s find a recipe for success? - http://www.dnj.com/article/DN/20100704/BUSINESS01/7040332/1088/BUSINESS/Can+O+Charley+s+find+a+recipe+for+success

More Soon.

3. August 2010

Pizza Hut Slashes Menu Prices

Prices Slashed

http://www.scootaboutkneescooters.com/images/prices-slashed.gif

Well, that is a little of an exaggeration perhaps - but what they have done is get the new lower price point in front of the public AND have brought clarity in pricing to the pizza category - mediums now start at 8.00 with up to three toppings. —- Along a related front - amazingly, we travel thru yet another summer without one major FF chain matching McDonald’s 1.00 Iced Tea prices. Amazing.

Now, you know RTAR loves surveys and especially the results of surveys - like this one - Cracker Barrel Receives Top Ratings in National Independent Consumer Study - http://www.restaurantnews.com/cracker-barrel-receives-top-ratings-in-national-independent-consumer-study/ - not only that Cracker Barrel won 31 of 50 rated attributes.

And, in another study - US Restaurant Count Down by 5,204 From Last Year, Reports NPD - that is about 1% of all restaurants and the first decline since the study began in 1976 - The new normal settles in.

Here’s a new Carl’s Jr. & Hardee’s product sure to grab some headlines - The 12 Inch BURGER - http://www.usatoday.com/money/industries/food/2010-07-16-footlong16_ST_N.htm 

More new products - WENDY’S Upscales Salads - http://www.restaurantnews.com/wendys-introduces-new-line-of-premium-salads/ - will upscale price diminish results?

More links tomorrow.

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