Restaurant Trade Area Research

25. February 2011

Greenberg: Restaurant Investors Living in Denial?

Here’s the opening tease from the article link:  `Inflation and restaurants is not a new theme, but add gasoline prices and the mixture could be explosive.’  - http://www.cnbc.com/id/41430184

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More ways our society is changing via the Restaurant Industry - Nearly 50 Percent of Restaurants Owned by Women - http://www.restaurantnews.com/nearly-50-percent-of-restaurants-owned-by-women/

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The funding issue - United Capital Finances $2 million for Five Guys Burgers and Fries Operator - http://www.restaurantnews.com/united-capital-finances-2-million-for-five-guys-burgers-and-fries-operator/ - has lent to many franchise brands.

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More FREE stuff -Perkins Giving Away Free Pancakes on ‘Perkins Pancake Day’ - http://www.restaurantnews.com/perkins-giving-away-free-pancakes-on-perkins-pancake-day/

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Some new restaurant products being marketed - McDonald’s Angus Third Pounder Line Gets Bolder With Chipotle BBQ Bacon - http://www.restaurantnews.com/mcdonalds-angus-third-pounder-line-gets-bolder-with-chipotle-bbq-bacon/ - three hot words in one Angus, Chipotle, Bacon. ——— Here, Jack In The Box continues the Upscaling of Milkshakes with FF - Jack in the Box Shakes Up Menu with New Mint Oreo Cookie Shake - http://www.restaurantnews.com/jack-in-the-box-shakes-up-menu-with-new-mint-oreo-cookie-shake/ — and - here, Domino’s looks to strengthen a brand extension -Domino’s Introduces New Wings and Boneless Chicken - http://www.restaurantnews.com/dominos-introduces-new-wings-and-boneless-chicken/

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More, soon.

23. February 2011

The Groupon `Restaurant’ Experience - Why Pay More?

Over the last thirty plus years that I’ve been involved in restaurant research - I’ve occasionally been associated with fast food brands that REALLY believed in `couponing’. So much so that the `regulars’ - those that used the chain once or even twice a week - could pretty much count on not paying full price if they were flexible in eating - before the next `coupon drop’ - would once again give them the lowest price on a product. For them, this coupon price became the REAL price - they avoided going when couponless - why should they?

In addition to giving the regulars a lower price point - eroding the real profit center of any restaurant (frequent users) - eventually, and BECAUSE OF BEING UBIQUITOUS - the coupons also didn’t have appeal to the non-users (after-all they had thrown them out dozens and dozens of times already) - the very NEW users the coupon was trying to attract.

Oh sure, the coupons did `move up’ the visit of the irregular users - a few of them - after all, most of them simply `aren’t that into’ your chain - or they would be regulars - so, they often would be using just because of ads and not real coupons. After all, you `supported’ those coupons, any marketing efforts, with other media, usually expensive TV or billboard on occasion.

So, along comes the new normal - set in motion by the near financial collapse of the very structure of the credit system itself in 2008. Followed by the `re-adjustments’ by a huge portion of America’s population - which also included `eating out’ - which suddenly became VERY `discretionary income’ oriented for many individuals and households. (Remember, all income levels saw their perception of their personal and household wealth fall or drop.)

`Nice restaurants’ - the ones with a waitperson for your table and a hostess to show you where to sit - were the first to feel the pressure; hence the rise of the Fast Casual Segment without tipping. A tradedown without giving up too much quality - and with an element of `speed’ that was lacking in the `tipping locations’.

Obviously, the old Fern bars - now family dining places such as TGIF, Applebee’s, O’Charley’s  and others had to respond - and they did largely by advertising WAY more than those `fast casuals’ could afford to - by YELLING the `value’ prices they were now having in their restaurants. IF one were to believe the ads, one could eat at these places for 7 or 8 bucks, even less sometimes.

But, customers, especially today’s new normal customers, know that is not the case - with drink and with tip - even with getting the specials - you were over the 10 bucks a head - and that was a low end number. Avoid the special and you were rapidly approaching 15.00 - not a desirable price in the new normal.

Indeed, SO MUCH SO it was a forbidden price that suddenly — REAL RESTAURANTS - with similar price points - such as BBQ places and `Full Service’ restaurants (that used to take reservations, or do still when needed) felt the need to attract customers - knowing the days of 12.00 plus for frequent eating out was simply not a real business plan in most areas of the country and most trade areas.

Along, came Groupon. And, yes, I had been seeing them and not using any. Then my daughter asked if we wanted to buy Groupon’s on two separate days recently (in January) - which we had her do. One was an 8.00 off coupon at a BBQ place in Woodstock, Ga. called Bub-Ba Q, the other a 15.00 off (25.00 coupon bought for 10) for The Right Wing Cafe, once again in Woodstock (downtown this time).

What was `nice’ about both Groupon’s was they didn’t `require’ purchases - the old - you MUST by drinks etc. It gave the users, us, the feeling of more control and ultimate savings possible.

Now, as a user with a frequency of perhaps - once every 12 weeks or so to Bub-Ba-Q’s — IF they run that special more often than that - I will never pay full price again most likely. INDEED, I MIGHT EVEN WAIT FOR IT - and reduce my frequency by doing so!

And, really - was it really the fact that paying 23 dollars for three of us including tip - instead of 31 that brought us in? Yes, but, now, I don’t want to pay 31 anytime in less than the next three months for sure. More importantly, did the enticement of spending 23 bring in NEW users who were TOTALLY avoiding BBQ due to it’s pricyness at 31 dollars for three?

Do you actually think they will return at full price?

The effect of Groupon’s ultimately on the sit-down, alcohol available, how about an appetizer or dessert places - such as Right Wing Cafe (yes with a political theme) could be even worse IMO. There, in a location we only use perhaps once a year, - I am SURE that I wouldn’t return without getting the same 15.00 savings (bill was 38 - minus 15 for 23 bucks) (not including tip).

It’s just my opinion, but, it seems unlikely that folks that have stopped goingto hostess seated, appetizer-dessert-alcohol pushed by waitpersons restaurants - but who are indeed enticed by 15.00 savings - will be returning at FULL price. Right?

Oh, and here’s an article that basically confirms my above experiences - http://www.cnbc.com/id/41666618 - CEO Blog: Daily Deal Sites Don’t Want Loyal Customers (for Businesses) - (here is a story tease):

“The collective buying model can successfully drive thousands of one-time customers to a location, yet little research or analysis has been done to determine if daily deal sites are driving the right type of customer – one that comes back at full price.

Businesses almost always lose money on the deal itself and justify the expense with the hope they’ll connect with loyal customers. Unfortunately, a recent Rice University study showed that only around 20% of Groupon customers actually return to local businesses. Most local businesses only break even when 60% or more of their customers come back.”

Thanks for your visit today.

Also: related - http://restauranttradearearesearch.com/2010/10/25/no-tipping-fast-casual-segment-the-staycation-of-the-new-normal/

16. February 2011

The MarketView - Research For Your Restaurant

Filed under: cannibalization — Rick Phillips @ 18:18

Today, I want to spend this paragraph encouraging restaurant owners to `get the big view’ of their real market situation. To understand that NEXT year - with proper information - you can do real local marketing that impacts your units.How you ask?

By doing my MarketView research for which you can find more info about at www.squidoo.com/tradeareasurveys — or go to the site for contact information for my services. If you call, make sure to ask me about the project I did for a fast food chain that involved doing over 10 stores and testing over 12 new site locations within the market - for under 30,000.00.

More Soon.

15. February 2011

Reel In Some Restaurant Links

For example: Long John Silver’s Reels In New Logo, Message - http://www.restaurantnews.com/long-john-silvers-reels-in-new-logo-message/ – `We Speak Fish’ - Simple, direct, targeted. Compelling? And, LJS, on selling block? http://www.restaurantnews.com/yum-brands-looking-to-sell-long-john-silvers-and-aw-all-american-restaurants/

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Jack in the Box Guests Reel In $2.99 Fish Sandwich Combo Meal - http://www.restaurantnews.com/jack-in-the-box-guests-reel-in-2-99-fish-sandwich-combo-meal/ - Action price point for FF.

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Moe’s continues its interest in `weekparting’ with - Moe’s Southwest Grill Supports Meatless Mondays With Vegetarian and Flexitarian Meal Options - http://www.restaurantnews.com/moes-southwest-grill-supports-meatless-mondays-with-vegetarian-and-flexitarian-meal-options/ - Side targeting of `health’ segment.

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McDonald’s comparable global January sales up over 5% - http://www.restaurantnews.com/mcdonalds-january-global-comparable-sales-rise-5-3/ - BIG Boy comparible Down over 1% http://www.restaurantnews.com/frischs-reports-higher-sales-and-earnings-in-the-second-quarter-of-fiscal-2011/ - blames attrition to new stores! ——– O’Charley’s same store sales down - http://www.restaurantnews.com/ocharleys-inc-reports-fourth-quarter-and-fiscal-2010-results/

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Sbarro in trouble? http://www.restaurantnews.com/debt-burdened-sbarro-could-slice-some-shops/

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More soon.

10. February 2011

If It Were MY Ad Dollar

It’s worth thinking back about 2010 — what fast food ads do you remember? (I wrote this in late Jan.)

For me, Pizza came to mind first; from the 10 Dollar  price point positioning of Pizza Hut (which offered value and an immediate clarification on pricing, always a nebulous weak point for the Pizza category) to the Domino’s ads about `sending in a picture of your pizza’ and real pizza in ads from now on with no special effects (a reaching out to be more real to people - in essence just what that Undercover Boss series does).

Yes, that funny ad with those Valley Girl type secretaries eating Hardee’s Fresh Chicken Fingers comes to mind still too; and, Wendy’s Sea Salt Fries, but that was recent. Okay, I still have a memory or two of McDonald’s different `Wraps’ type offerings, Arby’s 1.00 Menu - and Subway now offering Breakfast (all three of which induced not one actionby myself until recently trying Arby’s Buck Items). Nearly all the rest is a wash. Money swept under the bridge of TV Fast Food Advertising.

Zaxby’s is simply that easy to whistle same music theme over and over and the folksy endorsement by small celebrities - IHOP is endlessly pushing slightly expensive breakfasts IMO - all the Casual Restaurants such as Friday’s are endlessly pushing the under 10.00 price point (and ignoring that I will be paying a tip beyond any price point that EXcludes a drink to begin with) (not real) - and, where has the Burger KING went anyway? Price is also what I remember about Capt. D’s ads - and Steak and Shake - while price AND size is what I remember about Taco Bell. (As I go mentally thru my local Woodstock Ga. Fast Food Market.)

My guess is that some marketing departments are patting themselves on the back - they have gotten the point thru to a weary America that `eating out’ can fit into a reduced `frills’ budget diet the new normal has put America onto.

But, PRICE may be less compelling - especially emotionally to a consumer - than the reward of trying a new product offering that sounds especially good; one that you may be excited to tell a friend about. And, less compelling than trying to directly talk to consumers like the Pizza category did in 2010. IMO.

So, what would I do if it were MY ad dollar?

I’d want to stand out.

For example, to `reach the consumer’ would 4 thirty second ads bunched with a block of perhaps 4 minutes of similar ads each time - sound like a way to stand out — OR — WOULD A TWO MINUTE `SHOWCASE’ AD? —————– Heck, even 24 - Five second logos might have more impact than the standard forgettable 30 second ad a week into a new ad flight.

IMO, with `Showcase’ Ads - Brands can address all the marketing categories with 3 or 4 variations (a strategy not often used) - first and foremost, the `frequency-rejecter’ - that is the core population base that is aware of your brand, has used it in the past - but now, it has been so long, as to be a `trier-rejector’ (at least to YOU the owner of the brand) of the brand - having replaced it with other choices.

IMO, many of these people can be lured back - and many fall into the influenced by advertising campaigns motif - that ad agencies have long relied upon for improvement of sales during sales campaigns. IMO, they could be targeted MUCH more via a Showcase ad.

After all, REGULAR users are JUST that - and are UNLIKELY to be significantly changing their Frequency of Usage over any term; other than to bump up the next visit interval by a few days, perhaps. Much more effective ways exist to market to your existing customer base than TV mass advertising.

Of course, the ultimate boom would exist on MAKING A NEW USER ENTIRELY - the total rejecter; never user (for all practical purposes) - certainly a Showcase Ad for these extremely low awareness of what your brand IS market - can become better informed and tempted about what YOU have to offer via your brand.

These LOW-KEY, almost, aw-shucks ads - like an infomercial - are the emotional connection to change behaviour ——— not the mind numbing, what did I just see, 30 second blasts of normalcy.

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See just how different regular fast food users are compared to rejecters at my YouTube channel or by following these links:

Frequent user of Fast Food - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zTRO81RR7DA 

Hates Fast Food - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x8G9OAFlquI

1. February 2011

Some New Product Offerings At Fast Food Restaurants

Keeping the offerings fresh to attract new customers and retain existing customers is a must for most chain FF restaurants - here - Church’s Chicken introduces the Chicken Mini Sandwich at the 89cent and 2 for 1.49 price points - here’s the description:

all white meat breast filet on a toasted, slightly sweet bun topped with lettuce, creamy Original or Spicy mayonnaise and a crunchy dill pickle chip.

Sounds good - and certainly could help Church’s at this lower price point for consideration for that market segment of FF users that often don’t consider Chicken.

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Meanwhile, Fazoli’s Introduces Four New Mini Bakes - http://www.restaurantnews.com/fazolis-introduces-four-new-mini-bakes/ - at =3.99 - value pricing and value sizing once again.

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Oh, an update on the Woodstock Fast Food Market - on the main Hwy 92 Strip another Chicken Casualty - Mrs. Winners - right across the street from the first name brand to fall in the new normal KFC. —– Philly CheeseSteak has added Chicken Nuggets —– (strange) — Bubba Q was selling 15 dollar meals online for 7 bucks.

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More soon.

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