Restaurant Trade Area Research

23. February 2011

The Groupon `Restaurant’ Experience - Why Pay More?

Over the last thirty plus years that I’ve been involved in restaurant research - I’ve occasionally been associated with fast food brands that REALLY believed in `couponing’. So much so that the `regulars’ - those that used the chain once or even twice a week - could pretty much count on not paying full price if they were flexible in eating - before the next `coupon drop’ - would once again give them the lowest price on a product. For them, this coupon price became the REAL price - they avoided going when couponless - why should they?

In addition to giving the regulars a lower price point - eroding the real profit center of any restaurant (frequent users) - eventually, and BECAUSE OF BEING UBIQUITOUS - the coupons also didn’t have appeal to the non-users (after-all they had thrown them out dozens and dozens of times already) - the very NEW users the coupon was trying to attract.

Oh sure, the coupons did `move up’ the visit of the irregular users - a few of them - after all, most of them simply `aren’t that into’ your chain - or they would be regulars - so, they often would be using just because of ads and not real coupons. After all, you `supported’ those coupons, any marketing efforts, with other media, usually expensive TV or billboard on occasion.

So, along comes the new normal - set in motion by the near financial collapse of the very structure of the credit system itself in 2008. Followed by the `re-adjustments’ by a huge portion of America’s population - which also included `eating out’ - which suddenly became VERY `discretionary income’ oriented for many individuals and households. (Remember, all income levels saw their perception of their personal and household wealth fall or drop.)

`Nice restaurants’ - the ones with a waitperson for your table and a hostess to show you where to sit - were the first to feel the pressure; hence the rise of the Fast Casual Segment without tipping. A tradedown without giving up too much quality - and with an element of `speed’ that was lacking in the `tipping locations’.

Obviously, the old Fern bars - now family dining places such as TGIF, Applebee’s, O’Charley’s  and others had to respond - and they did largely by advertising WAY more than those `fast casuals’ could afford to - by YELLING the `value’ prices they were now having in their restaurants. IF one were to believe the ads, one could eat at these places for 7 or 8 bucks, even less sometimes.

But, customers, especially today’s new normal customers, know that is not the case - with drink and with tip - even with getting the specials - you were over the 10 bucks a head - and that was a low end number. Avoid the special and you were rapidly approaching 15.00 - not a desirable price in the new normal.

Indeed, SO MUCH SO it was a forbidden price that suddenly — REAL RESTAURANTS - with similar price points - such as BBQ places and `Full Service’ restaurants (that used to take reservations, or do still when needed) felt the need to attract customers - knowing the days of 12.00 plus for frequent eating out was simply not a real business plan in most areas of the country and most trade areas.

Along, came Groupon. And, yes, I had been seeing them and not using any. Then my daughter asked if we wanted to buy Groupon’s on two separate days recently (in January) - which we had her do. One was an 8.00 off coupon at a BBQ place in Woodstock, Ga. called Bub-Ba Q, the other a 15.00 off (25.00 coupon bought for 10) for The Right Wing Cafe, once again in Woodstock (downtown this time).

What was `nice’ about both Groupon’s was they didn’t `require’ purchases - the old - you MUST by drinks etc. It gave the users, us, the feeling of more control and ultimate savings possible.

Now, as a user with a frequency of perhaps - once every 12 weeks or so to Bub-Ba-Q’s — IF they run that special more often than that - I will never pay full price again most likely. INDEED, I MIGHT EVEN WAIT FOR IT - and reduce my frequency by doing so!

And, really - was it really the fact that paying 23 dollars for three of us including tip - instead of 31 that brought us in? Yes, but, now, I don’t want to pay 31 anytime in less than the next three months for sure. More importantly, did the enticement of spending 23 bring in NEW users who were TOTALLY avoiding BBQ due to it’s pricyness at 31 dollars for three?

Do you actually think they will return at full price?

The effect of Groupon’s ultimately on the sit-down, alcohol available, how about an appetizer or dessert places - such as Right Wing Cafe (yes with a political theme) could be even worse IMO. There, in a location we only use perhaps once a year, - I am SURE that I wouldn’t return without getting the same 15.00 savings (bill was 38 - minus 15 for 23 bucks) (not including tip).

It’s just my opinion, but, it seems unlikely that folks that have stopped goingto hostess seated, appetizer-dessert-alcohol pushed by waitpersons restaurants - but who are indeed enticed by 15.00 savings - will be returning at FULL price. Right?

Oh, and here’s an article that basically confirms my above experiences - http://www.cnbc.com/id/41666618 - CEO Blog: Daily Deal Sites Don’t Want Loyal Customers (for Businesses) - (here is a story tease):

“The collective buying model can successfully drive thousands of one-time customers to a location, yet little research or analysis has been done to determine if daily deal sites are driving the right type of customer – one that comes back at full price.

Businesses almost always lose money on the deal itself and justify the expense with the hope they’ll connect with loyal customers. Unfortunately, a recent Rice University study showed that only around 20% of Groupon customers actually return to local businesses. Most local businesses only break even when 60% or more of their customers come back.”

Thanks for your visit today.

Also: related - http://restauranttradearearesearch.com/2010/10/25/no-tipping-fast-casual-segment-the-staycation-of-the-new-normal/

22. November 2010

WHO Uses Coupon?

Interesting study, not restricted to restaurant coupons by any means, shows that the `wealthy’ are most likely. If out more at the link: http://www.walletpop.com/blog/2010/11/15/who-is-most-likely-to-use-a-coupon/?icid=main%7Chtmlws-main-w%7Cdl3%7Csec1_lnk3%7C184330

Interested in buying any franchise? Want to Buy a Franchise? The Requirements Went Up - http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704361504575552803956439716.html

 New French Fries for Wendy’s? With Sea Salt? Wendy’s Introduces New Natural-Cut Sea Salt Fries - http://www.restaurantnews.com/wendys-introduces-new-natural-cut-sea-salt-fries/ and while this article states that Wendy’s has not re-designed their fries before — I definitely remember Wendy’s having thicker fries years ago.

Third Quarter sales up 4.3% at Texas Roadhouse - http://www.restaurantnews.com/texas-roadhouse-inc-announces-third-quarter-2010-results/ and at Pizza Inn - sales off over 4% comparable - http://www.restaurantnews.com/pizza-inn-inc-reports-results-for-first-quarter-fiscal-year-2011/

More tomorrow.

20. September 2010

Quick Restaurant Thoughts And Links

It’s scant data but this website is once again in the Alexa Rankings - http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/restauranttradearearesearch.com# - the stats from 1&1 my host would indicate a growing readership too.

So, I have now seen the TV ad campaign for the new Burger King Breakfast menu —– to me —– OK, but, strange IMO. I mean, ONLY MEN marching in the street? (I noted the various types of men from office to laborer to `funny’ still in bathrobe man.) I thought BK wanted to slowly move to less emphasis on ONLY the male target. The commercial also left me wondering what these products were that I only had a few seconds to view all together.

Recently got two very different coupons via the mail for Honeybaked Ham and CiCi’s. HH offered a 6.99 combo and CiCi’s offered a 3.99 adult buffet. Now my first statement is that CiCi’s hasn’t offered this price point for quite sometime, and, became famous for it when the chain was in full expansion mode prior to the new normal. Except for the fact that the coupon was only for one person (why not make it for more than one on the same coupon) - it was a very compelling reason `to return’ to having CiCi’s be part of the mix of restaurants used. Whereas, my first thought about HH was - WTH? — What is the NORMAL price if this is the `value’ they now are offering (and in the same plaza as a Subway with a 3.99 daily deal)? And, who in the world is this coupon trying to compete with - O’Charley’s?

I’ve also caught sight of the fact that the Woodstock Steak and Shake - in addition to meeting the new afternoon dayparting of drink prices (like Sonic) - to attract some of those `convenience store’ types — they now offer the same 2-1 deal from 2AM to 4AM — very cool.

And, here’s a new technology that even mentions usage by Fast Food Chains - Bump Uses License Plate Image Recognition to Text Fellow Drivers  - Includes this statement:

Fast food restaurants, for example, could use the technology to offer personalized menus to drive-thru customers, as based on their previous selections

http://www.switched.com/2010/09/16/bump-uses-license-plate-image-recognition-to-text-fellow-drivers/?icid=main%7Chtmlws-main-w%7Cdl5%7Csec3_lnk2%7C171298

22. March 2010

Restaurant Links - Late March

Filed under: buying intentions, free wi-fi, 10.00, coupons, lower prices, brand loyalty, Pizza Hut — Rick Phillips @ 16:51

A $10 Pizza Hut promotion that launched late last year in Dallas and went nationwide last month has helped the country’s largest pizza seller regain some of the sales it lost to lower-priced chains - Family eats for 10.00 is a winner in the new normal - http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/bus/stories/DN-PizzaHut_26bus.ART.State.Edition1.3cf3be9.html

Consumer Insights Survey: Restaurant Brand Loyalty Remains High Despite Declining Visits - And, from the article - “Edwards explained that in order for brands to grow their customer base today, they must provide a trigger that prompts a consumer to try something that’s out of their comfort zone. ….The Consumer Verdict: Coupons Are the Answer…Of twelve options, the most frequent reason (36%) for considering switching to trial a new restaurant was a coupon or discount. A separate question validated this finding, with more than half of consumers indicating that a coupon or discount offer did recently prompt them to a visit a restaurant they might not have otherwise tried.” - http://restaurantnews.com/consumer-insights-survey-restaurant-brand-loyalty-remains-high-despite-declining-visits/ - Other notable statistics include:

Free WiFi: Is it right for your QSR? - Interesting story - http://www.qsrweb.com/article.php?id=17531&na=1


 

24. February 2010

Ranking Customer `Purchaser Types’ - And - Specific Marketing To Each

Recently, I found this to be of great help to a particular client who uses my consulting. Indeed, I’d be happy to come to your market and fashion the same type of system for your FF unit too.

The first thing I’d like to do in this post - is the ranking of `customer purchaser types’. And, first and foremost, the #1 type of customer is the LARGE transaction customer - the one that spends over 150% more than the average transaction - (typically a three or more party size - but, we are NOT worried about the size of the party, only the transaction total). Now, the specific marketing opportunity you want to offer for ANY of the `customer types’ - are the customers who are NOT using any incentives (coupons or programs) for THIS purchase. IF they are already `bouncing back’ - that is just what we want to see or develop. Examples of the approach I suggest will be found in this post.

#2 Customer type - Full price, big sandwich, combo. Yes, of course, the vanishing bread and butter customer - vital to the bottom line of most FF’s.  — IF you are not using my `full’ method (of asking certain customers how often they use YOUR unit - or - how many days since last visit) and lack knowledge of this customers frequency — it is vital to `market’ the idea of the `3 visit’ combo club (my suggestion to have an actual effective campaign for these folks is 3 visits).

#3 Customer type - Full price, multi-product purchaser. These are the folks who don’t get a drink - or skip the fries - or are buying for multiple people but not going the combo route. The marketing strategy for these parties is to `target the product not purchased’. For example, you have an order for two sandwiches and two fries - no drink — for that order, the bounceback is a coupon for a greatly discounted drink on the next purchase (or a discounted dessert or side if those are what’s missing).

#4 Customer Type - Full price, single product purchase only. To these customers - offer either a straight (say 10%) small discount on next purchase - or a `real value’ combo coupon (beyond normal pricing). These types of customers often fit into the various `clubs’ I have talked about in the past as yet another marketing opportunity - ie: - `drink club’ `dessert club’ etc.

#5 Customer Type - Value price (ie:dollar menus, etc), multi-product purchases. Market with significant combo coupon (to trade out of the lower priced items) or `frequency club’ targeting with VERY SMALL reward.

#6 Customer Type - Value price - single product. Again, market with significant combo coupon, or, specific discounted full price item, and GREAT service.

Now, the above is just ONE of my many ideas of how to market to your real existing customer base. And, obviously, is not with details that I’d fill you in with if you were a client.

Another of my favorites is the occasional - cross promotion - such as promoting a weekend coupon to your evening weekday customers - who share the same Trade Area often.

Find out more about my services at 678-467-8650 (cell) -> leave a message if you do not reach me directly and I will call you back.

13. November 2009

Targeting The 18-24 Year Old Customer

It seems that many fast food restaurants have too narrow a target demographic and don’t spread out their age targeting on television commercials as they should - including a direct targeting of the customer aged 18-24  (Krystal being an exception.) - especially considering how hard it is to get the 18-24 age group to actually USE a FF coupon. Indeed, I’ve done research where less than 2% of the age group used coupons while upwards of 30% in other older age brackets was the case. So, the question is how to motivate usage within the young 18-24 year old cell.

Answer. VISUALLY target them with `frequency club’ bounceback card/coupon - make sure the dated card only involves a reasonable frequency level like I’ve described in my recent posts. (For example, 2 visits in 2 months - with a discount for each of those purchases.) So, if the young person KNOWS that the next two times they use your restaurant they get 20% off (or similar) the total bill - anytime in the next two months — that will be much more likely to influence a spontaneous purchase with the brand — versus a 1% chance of usage of a coupon in the paper or mailbox mailing.

Restaurant links for today:

http://www.walletpop.com/blog/2009/11/11/subway-wants-your-breakfast-business/?icid=main|htmlws-main-n|dl8|link5|http%3A%2F%2Fwww.walletpop.com%2Fblog%2F2009%2F11%2F11%2Fsubway-wants-your-breakfast-business%2F Subway moves into the breakfast daypart. Can Subway bakery or Atlanta Bread Company positioning be far away?

http://www.walletpop.com/blog/2009/10/29/chinese-chickens-which-fast-food-chain-may-serve-you-this-scary/?icid=main|htmlws-main-n|dl3|link4|http%3A%2F%2Fwww.walletpop.com%2Fblog%2F2009%2F10%2F29%2Fchinese-chickens-which-fast-food-chain-may-serve-you-this-scary%2F - Chinese chicken: Which fast food chain may serve you this scary import?

www.RestaurantNews.com BTW, you can see my ad at this website - which has lots of interesting content too.

Powered by WordPress