Restaurant Trade Area Research

5. June 2011

Sodapalooza - And, The Untapped Fast Food `Drink’ Positioning

Sodapalooza is what the billboard sign screams in East Cobb, Georgia - it’s the new 49cents drink promotion at Race Trac http://www.racetrac.com/AwesomeDeals.aspx - a southeastern convenience store chain. Indeed, the competitors price is all of 59cents this summer (Quik Trip) I believe. And, as we all know McDonald’s has had 1.00 any sweet tea (occasionally all drinks too) of any size.

Unbelievably, to me, the reluctance to challenge McDonald’s great positioning continues with few exceptions. In Atlanta - Sonic, Steak and Shake and Chick Fil A - all have a dayparted two for one in the afternoon (do you ride around with others in the afternoon?) non-meal hours. While a reaction, it is somewhat whimpy. And, no other FF’s even seem to `get it’.

Hence, the huge rise in `drinkless’ FF orders (those so-called value combos eventually saved the average consumer nothing or perhaps a quarter and users knew that it had become more of an ordering and operations way of pigeonholeing consumers) — which has even given way to `sandwich only’ orders in the New Normal.

Consumers remember the days when Iced Tea was just coming onto FF menus — and IT WAS ALWAYS CHEAPER — much cheaper. What ever happened to that? Are FF outlets really going to lose money IF they `re-position’ drink prices? What if `any size drink’ was 79cents with a full priced sandwich? Wouldn’t that be easy? Certainly better ideas exist to return the drink to the orders than what is currently being marketed by nearly all FF brands.

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6. April 2011

SMART - Subway Makes Bacon Egg Cheese Footlong Of The Month

In an excellent marketing move very likely to covert some folks into NEW breakfast users - Subway has made the Bacon, Egg, and Cheese Flatbread - The FOOTLONG 5.00 Sub of the month. One would assume that introducing a new daypart into a long standing competitive marketplace segment, breakfast, as Subway did last year, is a slow go at best. However, this featuring of the breakfast daypart sandwich - ALLDAY- should certainly get lunch and evening trial and therefore potentially stimulate the breakfast daypart. (Hasn’t McDonald’s said in the past that they were going to make their fun menu an allday choice? Burgers before 10:30 and Biscuits in the afternoon?) http://www.subwayfreshbuzz.com/menu/footlong_of_the_month/ GREAT IDEA.

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IS Sbarro going under? - Sbarro Wins Court Approval of $16.5 Million Financing While in Bankruptcy  - http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-05/sbarro-wins-court-approval-of-16-5-million-financing-while-in-bankruptcy.html - article sites rising cheese costs and slowing consumer sales. Long time brand names going under reflects the real market IMO.

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Carl Jr’s and Hardee’s go ALL IN on Turkey Burgers. - http://www.restaurantnews.com/carls-jr-hardees-first-national-fast-food-chains-offering-charbroiled-turkey-burgers/ - FIVE versions, heath positioning — first to do — great moves. Is TURKEY the next Angus?

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Meanwhile, BK has pulled back on forcing stores to stay open til 2AM - http://www.miamiherald.com/2010/12/15/1973901/burger-king-pulls-back-on-after.html — win for franchisees –  Here’s Saladworks approach to helping new franchisee operators find new site locations - http://www.restaurantnews.com/saladworks-executive-team-searching-for-new-sites/ - excellent reading.  —– My only suggestion would be to have some outside independent person (like myself) who has conducted trade area research at hundreds of FF restaurants - to also provide suggestions, especially if a location of the brand is already in the market and cannibalization is an issue.

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Sometimes it is funny reading employee reactions to various advertising campaigns - like this of an Arby’s employee - http://www.ryanlmueller.com/2011/02/nibble-giggle-repeat.html and here is another opinion - http://makethelogobigger.blogspot.com/2011/03/mcarbys.html

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In more evidence of the `recovery’ being largely spotty, segmented,  and a reflection of `reverse attrition’ from the closing of so many restaurants - Seafood restaurant sales largely in the tank - http://www.orlandosentinel.com/business/os-eating-less-seafood-20110227,0,711787.story and, as I’m sure you are aware - Analysis: U.S. immigration probe fears weigh on Chipotle - http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/01/us-usa-immigration-chipotle-idUSTRE72007S20110301

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30. September 2010

A Wendy’s Breakfast - Is Third Time A Charm?

The only big burger chain without a breakfast presence in the marketplace - will try it again in 3 test markets - for the third (is that all?) time. The effort will be including oatmeal bars, egg sandwiches, paninis and burritos (which evidently are being demanded elsewhere?) to entice the new users set already in their morning drive breakfast routine. (Where’s the toast? Bacon? Pancakes?) - Perhaps in direct mocking of the BK new breakfast ads with marching males - Wendy’s could use Sexy Secretaries or something similar? - more at the link behind the move into extending dayparts http://www.ajc.com/business/wendys-sees-opportunity-in-618248.html

Speaking of burritos - Carl’s Jr., Green Burrito Open 500th Dual-Branded Restaurant - http://www.restaurantnews.com/carls-jr-green-burrito-open-500th-dual-branded-restaurant/

And, speaking of opening - Steak ‘n Shake Opens New Prototype Restaurant in Rome, Georgia - Same seating, @1/3 less to build - better view of grill for patrons - more at link http://www.restaurantnews.com/steak-n-shake-opens-new-prototype-restaurant-in-rome-georgia/

New McDonald

http://www.fastcompany.com/files/imagecache/panoramic_image/files/MOD-105-Weil-1.jpg

And speaking of makeovers - here’s a great story about the man who is re-designing McDonald’s - http://www.fastcompany.com/magazine/149/super-style-me.html

My YouTube Channel which has free 2010 Top Of Mind Research about Restaurant Brands - http://www.youtube.com/my_videos?feature=mhum

20. September 2010

Quick Restaurant Thoughts And Links

It’s scant data but this website is once again in the Alexa Rankings - http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/restauranttradearearesearch.com# - the stats from 1&1 my host would indicate a growing readership too.

So, I have now seen the TV ad campaign for the new Burger King Breakfast menu —– to me —– OK, but, strange IMO. I mean, ONLY MEN marching in the street? (I noted the various types of men from office to laborer to `funny’ still in bathrobe man.) I thought BK wanted to slowly move to less emphasis on ONLY the male target. The commercial also left me wondering what these products were that I only had a few seconds to view all together.

Recently got two very different coupons via the mail for Honeybaked Ham and CiCi’s. HH offered a 6.99 combo and CiCi’s offered a 3.99 adult buffet. Now my first statement is that CiCi’s hasn’t offered this price point for quite sometime, and, became famous for it when the chain was in full expansion mode prior to the new normal. Except for the fact that the coupon was only for one person (why not make it for more than one on the same coupon) - it was a very compelling reason `to return’ to having CiCi’s be part of the mix of restaurants used. Whereas, my first thought about HH was - WTH? — What is the NORMAL price if this is the `value’ they now are offering (and in the same plaza as a Subway with a 3.99 daily deal)? And, who in the world is this coupon trying to compete with - O’Charley’s?

I’ve also caught sight of the fact that the Woodstock Steak and Shake - in addition to meeting the new afternoon dayparting of drink prices (like Sonic) - to attract some of those `convenience store’ types — they now offer the same 2-1 deal from 2AM to 4AM — very cool.

And, here’s a new technology that even mentions usage by Fast Food Chains - Bump Uses License Plate Image Recognition to Text Fellow Drivers  - Includes this statement:

Fast food restaurants, for example, could use the technology to offer personalized menus to drive-thru customers, as based on their previous selections

http://www.switched.com/2010/09/16/bump-uses-license-plate-image-recognition-to-text-fellow-drivers/?icid=main%7Chtmlws-main-w%7Cdl5%7Csec3_lnk2%7C171298

1. June 2010

It Might Take `The Works’ For Restaurants In The `New Normal’

Welcome to Restaurant Trade Area Research - the restaurant blog written by a 30+ year restaurant researcher who has personally  interviewed thousands and thousands of fast food customers. (How’s that for a mouthful?) - Today’s topic, what seems to be the new need - `shooting the works’ to maintain or grow market share in the `new normal’.

Examples include:

Expanded Dayparting Focus - Subway going into the breakfast market is the first to come to mind - Daypart pricing is also notable with `2-4 pm’ reduced beverage costs (Steak & Shake — Sonic) — Weekpart Combo Specials , such as Moe’s Thursday Two for One’s - Subway’s after 5 footlong pricing, etc.

Seasonal dayparting — summers `late night positioning’ has been going on for years (open til 2Am on weekends type of stuff), and, it’s been noted recently that in the casual niche, 12AM or later, was recently claimed in the Atlanta media market by Applebee’s. At Fast Foods, `summer late nights’ is almost a requirement for some (Wendy’s, Taco Bell) but is an opportunity for others too (such as a Krystal’s potential muchie crowd,  or even sandwich niche restaurant).

Outrageous Product - The incredible focus on low price points within advertising (which has muddied the field) has made new product introductions even more important to appeal to the `trier-rejecters’/aware non-users of any fast food brand. One method to get attention is the outrageous product - such as KFC’s Double Chicken Sandwich. And, most recently Burger King’s move into Bone-In Ribs - would be an `unexpected’ example of a `new product’ that should `create new trial’ - especially with good word of mouth - especially during summer. (Perfect `season’ new product introduction.)

Expand Competition Into Other Niches - Recent examples of this include McDonald’s continued focus on beverages such as premium coffee and other choices. Burger Kings new Ribs carves out part of the sit-down market (and the `upscale’ `trade down’) as does it’s Brunch positioning in some markets. The new `upscale’ Milkshakes by Chic-Fil-A, Hardee’s and Zaxby’s –> reach into the `Dairy Queen’/Baskin Robbins niche.

The `Health’ Market - Long heralded as the next sure thing (only problem was that in the 80’s-90’s market was still non-existent) , the `Healthy Fast Food’ market may finally be available - due in large to the already established `Bakery’ niche being taken ALREADY by the female demographic that has turned FROM fast food choices in the last 8 years or so, - to places like Panera Bread or Atlanta Bread Company or others. To me, it seems the natural ones to attack this would be sandwich chains like Quizno’s - Blimpie’s - Subway.

Upgraded Products/Serving Quality - Angus Beef now is an example of offering the `upgraded product at a premium price’ niche. Obviously it also attacks the `fast casual’ growing segment (the stepdown from casual tipping establishments). I’ve already mentioned BK’s Ribs. KFC roasted chicken could be seen by some as an upgrade in health perception.

Selling Branded Products — To me, it is a little self-defeating - BUT - White Castle has frozen product as do many other restaurant chains. To me, I’ve never found these pre-packaged foods to be as appetizing. How about you? Then again, Dunkin Donuts coffee seems logical - and I know that I’d buy a Big Mac Sauce if it was ever offered.

Fancy, Social, E-Mail Marketing Database Building - To me,  working with a stores known customer bases information - and the customer base itself - is VERY attractive too - and is needed to not lose an edge to the competition. That said, some areas seem to have the potential to eventually become overdone and self-defeating (the free food promotion costs - or extreme motivational discounts) and eventually will have it’s `day-come’ due to overuse.

For example, lets say you sign up with a store chain that will provide you a coupon code every time you go to their restaurant trade area — if you signed up with multiple chains you eventually would not wade thru the offerings and IF you did act on one - it would be the one `giving the most savings’. Coupon people are indeed driven by costs - which will drive down your profits and establish a two-tier payment pricing - and confuse the customer base about the real price/value of your products. GPS `coupons’ will not replace friendly smiles, eye contact and good operations. (Within this blog I’ve talked about specific marketing that can be done with your EXISTING customer base via ONE question frequency targeting - or - NO question `menu’- total purchase targeting.)

The `New Marketing’ for the `New Normal’ goes way beyond buying the 25-54 demo slightly focused on one sex - and expecting success. No, the new normal demands running on all cylinders in multiple directions - and catering to a stores unique customer base.

Thanks for reading today - if you check out my sidebar - you may find a category of interest to you. You can also read more about my MarketView research at www.squidoo.com/tradeareasurveys .

4. June 2009

New Price For Customers - Free Food (Part Two)

The new price of `free’ continues within the fast food category - this week - I’m aware of a dayparted Sonic free Root Beer Float and a free donut at Dunkin Donuts (with purchase) and I’m pretty sure I saw a coupon for an Arby’s `weekparted’ free Kids meal (on weekends with purchase). To be honest, I think there was at least one more.

Well, at least the new FREE involves some targeting. Targeting families to get into a weekend Arby’s visit - good idea. Targeting the sweet tooth by Sonic in the evening (this promo was after 8PM) - creating that `float, at night, in the summer idea - and also making this FREE promotion FREE - good idea. Dunkin Donuts getting some free trial by coffee users - good idea.

Also newsworthy on the `re-pricing’ of fast food restaurant visits is McDonald’s (at least locally) going 1.00 for all sizes of any soft drink (a la carte) (until Sept.30th) - NOT just the sweet tea. Smart - something I suggested all chains should consider in prior posts about how to deal with the `new’ normal in restaurant usage.

And, that new normal continues to make it a rough go as these links indicate:

Fast-Food Chains In For Job-Loss Pain - http://money.cnn.com/news/newsfeeds/articles/djf500/200906031622DOWJONESDJONLINE000812_FORTUNE5.htm

Same store sale figures - Not good news for some - down as much as 8% for Arby’s - Qdoba’s down;  BK, Wendy’s, Jack In The Box slightly up. http://www.mediabuyerplanner.com/entry/41524/burger-king-promotes-value/

http://www.rttnews.com/Content/BreakingNews.aspx?Node=B1&Id=947907%20&Category=Breaking%20News

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