Restaurant Trade Area Research

One must pat KFC on the back for this inexpensive marketing move - pay a few coeds to advertise your bunless sandwich - targeted at males - on the buns (backsides, butts, buttocks) of pretty college coeds. Is `anything fried’ becoming a male dominated target demo? As the link says `a head turning’ idea - http://www.restaurantnews.com/kfc-places-double-down-ads-on-the-backsides-of-sweat-pants-worn-by-college-co-eds/

At this link - http://www.slashfood.com/2010/09/23/vegans-cheer-dennys-new-burger/?icid=main%7Chtmlws-main-w%7Cdl3%7Csec3_lnk1%7C172876 - you can read another winner from Denny’s (after their AARP success) - here  - heading in the opposite direction to the Double Down of KFC - is Denny’s new Vegan Burger - picking up on the new `health’ positioning and burger trends in one product. Also, burgers are a strong lunch product often times.

Two Subway new products reviewed - http://www.slashfood.com/2010/09/21/subways-fiery-turkey-jalapeno-and-steak-and-cheese-subs-reviewed/?icid=main%7Chtmlws-main-w%7Cdl8%7Csec3_lnk3%7C172053

Here is a real fun read - On Colonel Sanders’ 120th Birthday, Survey Reveals Young Americans Unclear If KFC Founder Was Real Person - http://www.restaurantnews.com/on-colonel-sanders-120th-birthday-survey-reveals-young-americans-unclear-if-kfc-founder-was-real-person/ - don’t miss this and what can happen to icons and brand images.

My YouTube Channel which has free 2010 Top Of Mind Research about Restaurant Brands - http://www.youtube.com/my_videos?feature=mhum

When I do some of my on the street - top of mind interviewing - I often ask my respondents about recall for Restaurant Advertising - here’s an example interview - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zTRO81RR7DA. Anyway, as I got to thinking of it just now - I thought I’d `do myself’ so to speak.

And the ad I like the most - is - Hardee’s; specifically the two `valley’ girl secretaries who are eating the `fresh’ breaded Chicken Strips and ignoring the `annoying’ phone calls they should be answering. To me, it’s hilarious and gets the message across about Freshness and upscaled.

The Wendy’s `talking couple’ ads about the new Fresh Salads (different types being featured) also comes across as promoting the Freshness and upscaled - with a bit of humor too. (The distracting relationship of the male and female Wendy’s worker.)

The Domino’s Pizza chief with his `not fluffed up’ pizza photography ads are next for me. Connects that his (Domino’s) pizza is Real Food and to not wanting to `fool the customer’ (implying the others do). The invite for consumers to send in their own pictures also connects at the personal level.

Captain D’s slogan recently - `Cookin in the Kitchen’ - caught my attention for its snappiness and food shots.

Chili’s - 5.99 Hamburgers caught my attention for low price point for sit-down casual (tipping locations) and product shot.

Steak and Shake coupons for Butter Pecan milkshakes increased my desire to go.

KFC - I’ve caught myself singing - G Double O D Goooooood - reluctantly a time or two. Catchy.

Quizno’s - 3, 4, and 5 dollar combos. Like this idea of a sliding combo price.

The laid back Zaxby’s tune - so easy to whistle.

More Top of mind Restaurant Videos Here - http://www.youtube.com/my_videos?feature=mhum

With second quarter sales off 7% - more and more franchisees are not confident with the new emphasis on sandwiches and grilled chicken - one decades long franchisee even said this: “Roger Eaton and his company don’t give a rat’s ass,” - http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/10_34/b4192019553596.htm?chan=magazine+channel_news+-+companies+%2B+industries much more detail at the link.

And KFC isn’t the only big name with continued lower secondquarter sales as Arby’s is once again off 7.4% and Wendy’s is off 1.7% http://www.restaurantnews.com/wendys-arbys-group-reports-2nd-quarter-2010-results/ - that said, Wendy’s/Arby’s plans expansion abroad with duel branded stores - http://www.ajc.com/business/wendys-arbys-to-open-588791.html

Meanwhile, while some chains go overseas for expansion - Chick-Fil-A plans to go into urban USA locations - http://www.ajc.com/business/chick-fil-a-plans-589960.html

And, speaking of GOING into new areas - New food-truck trend rolls into Akron - Vehicles promote fresh, unique fare, pose competition to eateries - http://www.ohio.com/news/top_stories/100353574.html making existing restaurants uneasy.

And, speaking of being uneasy in the restaurant business - Restaurants seek recipe for economic sustenance - So, with the fear of the unknown come new marketing strategies, including lots of social media and some creative pricing packages. Restaurants are also learning the value of truly connecting to the community they call home and making sure their new and regular customers are given top-notch food, delivered with a smile. - http://mddailyrecord.com/2010/08/05/restaurants-seek-recipe-for-economic-sustenance/ the bad news, of course, is that the `new normal’ is quickly becoming the new reality.

More down sales from O’Charley’s too - same-store sales at O’Charley’s company-operated restaurants declined by 7.9 percent - http://www.restaurantnews.com/ocharleys-inc-reports-results-for-the-second-quarter-of-2010/

More about my services at www.squidoo.com/tradeareasurveys

When the term `survival’ is used concerning any restaurant chain - it is not good news - especially when trying to change the positioning to more upscale in the new normal. But, that is exactly what RT is trying to do to create some positioning difference from competitors such as  Applebees, T.G.I. Friday’s and Chili’s. Read more of the strategy here - http://www.theledger.com/article/20100722/NEWS/7225054/1001

And, as you the restaurant owner knows that the new normal means - US Restaurant Count Down by 5,204 From Last Year, Reports NPD - http://www.restaurantnews.com/us-restaurant-count-down-by-5204-from-last-year-reports-npd/ 

McDonald’s, once again, is heads and tails above the rest in effectively following the trend to fresh and fruit - Customers Go Bananas for McDonald’s New McCafé Real Fruit Smoothies - http://www.restaurantnewsrelease.com/customers-go-bananas-for-mcdonalds-new-mccafe-real-fruit-smoothies/852184/

Or, you can take this approach to new products - being outrageous - KFC’s Double Down fails to take off http://money.cnn.com/2010/07/14/news/companies/kfc_double_down/index.htm?source=yahoo_quote

Here’s another story on Wendy’s going upscale with their salads (and upscale in price) - http://www.walletpop.com/blog/2010/07/09/wendys-upgrading-salads-but-it-will-cost-you/

And, Ruby Tuesday’s is not the only casual restaurant hoping to advance in the new normal - Can O’Charley’s find a recipe for success? - http://www.dnj.com/article/DN/20100704/BUSINESS01/7040332/1088/BUSINESS/Can+O+Charley+s+find+a+recipe+for+success

More Soon.

Well, you certainly know where I stand on listening to customers - but - this is a classic article that takes on KFC for not addressing its own perceptions head on: quoting from the post:

Me, if I were forging brand strategy, I’d defiantly promote my dietary incorrectness. I’d flip the bird at the food police and wave my greasy napkin as a battle flag. Sure beats lying — not only on moral grounds, but on the basis of pure common sense. What could possibly make KFC think that anyone buys their sad little charades? They either have no respect for the crap-eating public or no idea how to search Twitter. Here just the top few of thousands in the same vein:

http://adage.com/article?article_id=144143 – So, how about TRUTH as a brand positioning?

Here’s another KFC post - about its new slogan - the fifth in five years - and one they will stick with they say - Battered KFC Gives Itself Another Spin - http://adage.com/article?article_id=144035

Here’s some big news - Denny’s Inks Deal with AARP - and, with the 20% discount between 4-10 PM - it’s like a dayparting price. Who will be next to go after the over 50 market? http://www.restaurantnews.com/dennys-inks-deal-with-aarp/

A successful chain that hasn’t introduced a new sandwich in TWO decades? — Yepper, Chick-fil-A Heats up Menu with New Spicy Chicken Sandwich - http://www.restaurantnews.com/chick-fil-a-heats-up-menu-with-new-spicy-chicken-sandwich/

The headline on this story is - Have It Whose Way? - At Burger King, management and franchisees are locked in battle over the company’s direction - Seems everything from late night hours to 1.00 double cheeseburgers and more is prompting the public battle. http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704869304575109240807702512.html

Thanks for visiting today. Much more on this site - take a look around.

Welcome to Restaurant Trade Area Research - the restaurant blog written by a 30+ year restaurant researcher who has personally  interviewed thousands and thousands of fast food customers. (How’s that for a mouthful?) - Today’s topic, what seems to be the new need - `shooting the works’ to maintain or grow market share in the `new normal’.

Examples include:

Expanded Dayparting Focus - Subway going into the breakfast market is the first to come to mind - Daypart pricing is also notable with `2-4 pm’ reduced beverage costs (Steak & Shake — Sonic) — Weekpart Combo Specials , such as Moe’s Thursday Two for One’s - Subway’s after 5 footlong pricing, etc.

Seasonal dayparting — summers `late night positioning’ has been going on for years (open til 2Am on weekends type of stuff), and, it’s been noted recently that in the casual niche, 12AM or later, was recently claimed in the Atlanta media market by Applebee’s. At Fast Foods, `summer late nights’ is almost a requirement for some (Wendy’s, Taco Bell) but is an opportunity for others too (such as a Krystal’s potential muchie crowd,  or even sandwich niche restaurant).

Outrageous Product - The incredible focus on low price points within advertising (which has muddied the field) has made new product introductions even more important to appeal to the `trier-rejecters’/aware non-users of any fast food brand. One method to get attention is the outrageous product - such as KFC’s Double Chicken Sandwich. And, most recently Burger King’s move into Bone-In Ribs - would be an `unexpected’ example of a `new product’ that should `create new trial’ - especially with good word of mouth - especially during summer. (Perfect `season’ new product introduction.)

Expand Competition Into Other Niches - Recent examples of this include McDonald’s continued focus on beverages such as premium coffee and other choices. Burger Kings new Ribs carves out part of the sit-down market (and the `upscale’ `trade down’) as does it’s Brunch positioning in some markets. The new `upscale’ Milkshakes by Chic-Fil-A, Hardee’s and Zaxby’s –> reach into the `Dairy Queen’/Baskin Robbins niche.

The `Health’ Market - Long heralded as the next sure thing (only problem was that in the 80’s-90’s market was still non-existent) , the `Healthy Fast Food’ market may finally be available - due in large to the already established `Bakery’ niche being taken ALREADY by the female demographic that has turned FROM fast food choices in the last 8 years or so, - to places like Panera Bread or Atlanta Bread Company or others. To me, it seems the natural ones to attack this would be sandwich chains like Quizno’s - Blimpie’s - Subway.

Upgraded Products/Serving Quality - Angus Beef now is an example of offering the `upgraded product at a premium price’ niche. Obviously it also attacks the `fast casual’ growing segment (the stepdown from casual tipping establishments). I’ve already mentioned BK’s Ribs. KFC roasted chicken could be seen by some as an upgrade in health perception.

Selling Branded Products — To me, it is a little self-defeating - BUT - White Castle has frozen product as do many other restaurant chains. To me, I’ve never found these pre-packaged foods to be as appetizing. How about you? Then again, Dunkin Donuts coffee seems logical - and I know that I’d buy a Big Mac Sauce if it was ever offered.

Fancy, Social, E-Mail Marketing Database Building - To me,  working with a stores known customer bases information - and the customer base itself - is VERY attractive too - and is needed to not lose an edge to the competition. That said, some areas seem to have the potential to eventually become overdone and self-defeating (the free food promotion costs - or extreme motivational discounts) and eventually will have it’s `day-come’ due to overuse.

For example, lets say you sign up with a store chain that will provide you a coupon code every time you go to their restaurant trade area — if you signed up with multiple chains you eventually would not wade thru the offerings and IF you did act on one - it would be the one `giving the most savings’. Coupon people are indeed driven by costs - which will drive down your profits and establish a two-tier payment pricing - and confuse the customer base about the real price/value of your products. GPS `coupons’ will not replace friendly smiles, eye contact and good operations. (Within this blog I’ve talked about specific marketing that can be done with your EXISTING customer base via ONE question frequency targeting - or - NO question `menu’- total purchase targeting.)

The `New Marketing’ for the `New Normal’ goes way beyond buying the 25-54 demo slightly focused on one sex - and expecting success. No, the new normal demands running on all cylinders in multiple directions - and catering to a stores unique customer base.

Thanks for reading today - if you check out my sidebar - you may find a category of interest to you. You can also read more about my MarketView research at www.squidoo.com/tradeareasurveys .

A very serious article about the sales and marketing concerns with the Arby’s brand - including low brand loyalty even by users; and price-product positionings out of wack. http://www.nydailynews.com/money/2010/05/17/2010-05-17_arbys_performance_amongst_the_worst_in_modern_restaurant_history_analyst.html 

Here’s Burger King’s latest venture into the areas beyond Fast Food - http://www.walletpop.com/blog/2010/04/21/burger-king-testing-brunch-menu-in-select-markets - an area rapidly becoming important in the new normal.

More news - Why Captain D’s Was Thrown Overboard To Save Del Taco - http://blogs.bnet.com/business-news/?p=2077 - the bottom line on this was - healthier food, stronger brand, stronger finances, and fresher marketing - read for the details. (I did some research for one of these brands in the past and one of the brands in the above links.)

Can a two word slogan turn around sales - http://www.slashfood.com/2010/05/25/so-good-is-kfcs-groundbreaking-new-message/ - KFC hopes so. So Good?

In other news - NRA: Menu trends continue to highlight comfort food - http://www.pizzamarketplace.com/article.php?id=18373 - Bread Bowls, Oatmeal, Meatballs - you get the idea. More too.

The smartness of McDonald’s marketing and positionings are amazing - McDonald’s seeks to boost its beverage business - http://www.walletpop.com/blog/2010/05/18/mcdonalds-seeks-to-boost-its-beverage-business/

A great place to start if you are new with this blog is right here - http://restauranttradearearesearch.com/important-posts-in-2008/

Putting promotion and advertising dollars behind various price points is nothing new in the restaurant category - but - in 2010 - it would seem to be of huge importance based on the current crop of ad positionings positioning prices. For example - check out this list of price points promoted in the past year in the Atlanta ADI at least:

79 cents - Taco Bell (occasionally).

99cents - Wendy’s Value Menu - Capt. D’s sides

1.00 - McDonald’s Dollar Menu; Burger King, Arby’s, Checkers

1.50 (2/3.00) - Checkers, Dairy Queen (occasionally)

1.99 - Snack meals - Mrs. Winners, Church’s, KFC (occasionally), Dunkin Donuts, 

2.00 Denny’s

2.50 Subway Breakfast Combo

Meals For One

2.99 Combo’s - McDonald’s, Wendy’s, Krystal, Boston Market

3.99 Long John Silvers, KFC, (4.00)Firehouse Subs >4Pm (4.00) Steak & Shake, (4.00) Quizno’s, 3.99 Hardee’s, (4.00) Denny’s

5.00 - Subway Footlong, Boston Market 5.oo + sides, (5.01) Arby’s, (4.99) Waffle House, (4.99) CiCi’s Pizza, (5.00) Little Ceasar Pizza, (4.99) Denny’s, 5.00 - Capt. D’s lunch, (4.99) - Zaxby’s,

5.99 Domino’s Pizza, 6.00-Denny’s

8.00 Denny’s

6.99-9.99 - Friday’s, Ruby Tuesday’s, Ryan’s, Golden Corral, (10.00) Pizza Hut, Folks Restaurant, Red Lobster, Olive Garden, Applebees,

And now, with smaller portions becoming more accepted at a reduced price (often with more profit however) - the under 10.00 to eat AT a restaurant perception continues to grow.

As I mentioned in one of my first blog posts in this blog - http://restauranttradearearesearch.com/2008/08/17/mcdonalds-perception-change/ – competitors better realize the time is now if not last week to fear the FF giant. Talk about having all the right tools, and understanding that research, and understanding a customer base - it will only get tougher if you do not have the arches in front of your store. What are YOU doing about understanding your customer base?

Anyway - this `new idea’ is to make McDonald’s more `leisurely’ — absolutely could work too IMO. http://www.chicagotribune.com/business/ct-biz-0413-mcdonalds-makeover–20100412,0,2749029.story

In other news - Colonel Punishment - The significance of the KFC Double Down - the takeaway from this post is that it all ISN’T price price price in 2010 as the manner to create a buzz. That said, this product has already been panned. http://money.cnn.com/2010/04/15/news/companies/kfc_double_down.fortune/index.htm 

And, Firehouse Subs grabs some good PR with this Firehouse Subs Launches “Chip In” Program - http://restaurantnews.com/firehouse-subs-launches-chip-in-program/

Thanks for visiting today - in the sidebar you can see the most important posts of 2008 and 2009 - I exclude ones with links and just put the ones with `my articles’ - so give it a look. Thanks.

And, actually, well into the Alexa rankings at 12-13 millionth (most popular URL’s in the world out of over 1 trillion URL’s - they only rank the top 25 million or so) - http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/restauranttradearearesearch.com# and, indeed, earlier this week this blog had it’s most one day unique visitors at over 200. Thanks for your support and thanks for turning other restaurant owners onto my blog.

And, the first verdicts on the new KFC sandwich are coming in - as shown by this misleading title - http://www.walletpop.com/blog/2010/04/13/kfcs-double-down-is-no-bread-winner/? KFC’s Double Down is no bread-winner - Reviewer thinks it’s overpriced too.

I detail some of the services I can bring to your restaurant here - www.squidoo.com/tradeareasurveys — more links there too.

And, this first review is not too positive with grades from C+ to F for each of the first standard sandwich offerings. Seems the reviewer had very salt sensitive buds (as it seems anyone ready to write a negative food impression has to have) and hated the mouth favorite, a `Steak-Um’s’ similar choice. Interestingly, the reviewer tried NONE of the sandwiches custom made - (strange as wouldn’t nearly all of those that walk in custom make these?). http://www.slashfood.com/2010/04/05/subway-breakfast-sandwiches-reviewed/?

Seems Burgerville is having strong success with various online strategies - worth a browse here - http://www.mediapost.com/publications/?fa=Articles.showArticle&art_aid=124407

Here’s a pretty deep thought and science experiment as to what happens when folks view a Fast Food Sign - Simply the logo. Seems it makes them read faster, seeks ways to save time and other effects. Really shows how deep our impressions can be and affect behaviour. http://www.parentcentral.ca/parent/healthzone/mindmood/article/786836–how-a-fast-food-sign-changes-your-day

In this era of the new normal - where your restaurant brand in staking out a price point or points — comes this NEW level of price positioning - Denny’s has gone to promoting FOUR price value points http://restaurantnews.com/dennys-redefines-the-value-menu/ - see the full offerings at 2,4,6,and 8 dollars here.

KFC is about to introduce a new SUPER sandwich sure to raise the eyebrows of many - great picture of this TWO patty sandwich with NO bun. http://www.cnbc.com/id/36191290 I wonder what the demos on this sandwich would be? (Who Eats What menu research is always very interesting - something that YOU can do at your restaurant too via my services as part of the MarketView.)

Find out more about the MarketView here - www.squidoo.com/tradeareasurveys — I also have some current restaurant links at that site too.

First, let it be said that my usage of nearly ALL of the restaurants has already assumed the `new normal’ of the Great Recession. Regardless of what cheerleading the media may be doing about the economy - most folks are now cautious on discretionary spending - of which, restaurant visits - even to a degree Fast Food restaurant visits - has been impacted. 

 In alphabetical order:

Arby’s - I `responded’ to the ads for the `Roast Burger’ earlier in the year and was not impressed. I refused to respond to the Marry a Goat `humor’  ad campaign and somewhat like the recent 5.01 combo or pricing (the one cent being for Quality).  That said, generally, I perceive that Arby’s as expensive without having coupons from the coupon mail drop a few times a year. Additionally, they  `streamlined’ their `fries’ - dropping my favorite the Homestyle. How can they NOT promote the Jamoca Shake?

Atlanta Bread Company (ABC) - Remodeled nicely. Upgraded to real plates and silverware. Messy to clean up. Can be crowded and slow service. Female favorite. Good soups and combo prices. Mellow atmosphere.

Burger Inn - Local  legend - all fresh cooked. Great breakfast customer base. Friendly people; newspapers available often. Excellent onion rings. Beefy hamburgers. Male favorite.

Burger King - I like the current billboard promotion about the Double Cheeseburger for a buck, real value - but - haven’t gotten it.  I have ordered the Mini burgers more than once however and view that as an excellent addition. Amazingly, the Woodstock BK got rid of Real Sweet Tea years ago (my assumption is that is still the case) and thereby nearly ended my usage — I can’t stand the fake sweet tea out of a machine. Operations should be aware that changing ICONic drinks can have a big effect. — Finally, where is the KING?

Capt. D’s - Perhaps my favorite FF in Woodstock. Quality, Quick, and Quantity with good value pricing. Covers all reasonable price points including lunch specials and on-going `specialities’ that have all prices. Excellent choice of sides. Funny ads earlier in the year comparing to Red Lobster pricing. Friendly greeting and thanking when exiting. Good inside music.

Checkers - Still a viable concept (double drive thru) - chicken wings were a good addition earlier in year - somehow it fits. Catchy phrase “you gotta eat” recognizable for smaller chain levels of advertising. Covers all price points well with a good mix of products. The Woodstock store does Sunday Pricing - good idea - hasn’t ever motivated me for their `down sized’ versions. Could probably `play-up’ the FUN theme a little bit more.

Chick-Fil-A - Woodstock’s Chick-Fil-A is amazingly busy. Overwhelmingly busy whenever they do a promotion like 2-1 for a chicken sandwich or free food giveaway. Excellent quick service regardless of how long the lines are - especially at the drive-thru. (However, I’ve detected a time or two a usage of `workers in India’ taking my orders — I’m not kidding - and, in this time of underemployment in America - that is NOT right to save a few cents that way.) Real Milk Shakes were genius. Consistent quality. Friendly employees. Clean. ————— All that said, the Woodstock inside service in the sit-down area can be horrid and when is Chick-Fil-A gonna get some normal fries? Also, one takes a chance when getting the baked potato.

Dairy Queen -  The standard in Ice Cream desserts from the drive-thru. Haven’t used but really like the new pricing structure in ads 2/3 3/4 4/5.00 - interesting approach. Unfortunately, for me, the food hasn’t broke thru.

Dunkin Donuts - Right on the Strip - I’ve never used location. Certainly they can advertise donuts and donut prices more.  (IF I knew a quick Donut sweet was 99 cents for example - it would come to mind for `dessert’ or breakfast purchase more often. Never seen a place less concerned with establishing a price point understanding. Just how much does a dozen donuts cost?)

Firehouse Subs - Expensive but Excellent. Can be slow. Friendly employees. TV’s to watch. Good real sweet tea. Small, can be crowded.

Five Guys Hamburgers - Tangential to Woodstock in Sandy Plains area — good operation - waiting for a Woodstock Location (several good places available perhaps too).

IHOP - Expensive, right? What specials?

KFC - Closed but not forgotten. Also was one, like BK, to drop sweet tea for a time.

Krystal’s - Krystal `fix’ a must a few times a year. (Canton Road.) Ad’s featuring Crispy Onions on burger looks very compelling. Wi-Fi add - good idea.

McDonald’s - Woodstocks unit re-designs and updates the interiour often - which is nice. Clean. Service can range from excellent to very poor (weekends). Can often find an AJC or USA today in newspaper bin. Separate kids area - thumbs up. Fries can vary in quality. Best FF fish sandwich.

New China Buffet - Lunch value leader. Good quality food. Friendly employees. Priced by the pound to go. Widest variety of food.

O’Charlies - Stopped going shortly after changed menu restricting Prime Rib to Sundays only.

Panda Express - Have never used. Pass by back of lot 3 times a week on way to Walmart.

Po Folks - AKA Folks —> Expesive for what you get.

Ruby Tuesday’s — How could they get rid of German Potato Salad? (pet peeve). Good miniburgers and platter pricing. Easy to split orders. Great salad bar still.

Sonic - I really like their ad’s inside the car with the main guy and his friend and the main guy and his wife. Classic. Best onion rings in Woodstock at FF. To me, tasteless burgers. Fun to use. Daypart pricing on drinks in the afternoon. Fun music playing.

Steak And Shake -  Best Milkshake in Woodstock. Can be very expensive without coupons and very reasonable with coupons. Great variety of sides. Great music inside.

Subway - Good with pricing with coupons. Good quality. Can be SLOW service. GOOD real sweet tea. Fresh. Daily specials a good way to address pricing. Excellent variety of sandwiches.

Taco Bell - Good cheap price positioning. Good Chalupa’s. Good real sweet tea. Good service speed. Good quality overall.

Wendy’s - Huge variety in quality - excellent one time - poorish the next. What the heck happened to the fries - almost tasteless compared to yesteryear. I’m told good salads. Expensiveish compared to McD’s. Baked potato good price/quality.

Thanks for reading - feel free to comment.

Here’s some links also:

KFC Closes Its Doors to Fight Hunger - http://www.slashfood.com/2009/09/30/kfc-closes-its-doors-to-fight-hunger/?icid=main|htmlws-main|dl5|link6|http%3A%2F%2Fwww.slashfood.com%2F2009%2F09%2F30%2Fkfc-closes-its-doors-to-fight-hunger%2F Community involvemet matters - look at the results of the survey on this page too.

A Real Whopper? NASCAR’s Stewart to take live polygraph test in ad  - http://www.walletpop.com/blog/2009/09/30/a-real-whopper-nascars-stewart-to-take-live-polygraph-test-in//?icid=main|htmlws-main|dl1|link5|http%3A%2F%2Fwww.walletpop.com%2Fblog%2F2009%2F09%2F30%2Fa-real-whopper-nascars-stewart-to-take-live-polygraph-test-in%2F%2F BK, attention grabber again.

Eat, drink, and spend money: Restaurants ply diners with cheap booze - http://www.dailyfinance.com/2009/09/29/eat-drink-and-spend-money-restaurants-ply-diners-with-cheap-b/#continued?icid=main|htmlws-main|dl3|link3|http%3A%2F%2Fwww.dailyfinance.com%2F2009%2F09%2F29%2Feat-drink-and-spend-money-restaurants-ply-diners-with-cheap-b%2F%23continued

As far as the Woodstock Georgia fast food market is concerned  - restaurants continue to be under competitive pressures with strong discounting and `new and interesting’ promotions to offset the continued shrinking of customer bases. Indeed, just recently, ABC - the Atlanta Bread Company in Woodstock had a Sunday evening `Murder theater’ (with actors of course) near closing time for which tickets at 10.00 per head were sold. These `patrons’ would have an additional chance to purchase food and dessert from the unit too - for enjoyment when watching the play.

And, the discounting continues at all levels from Waffle Houses 4.99 meals, to 4.00 KFC meals, to 99 cent Dunkin Donut specials, to the buck level at Checkers, Wendy’s and — whatever special Arby’s has going at a various promotion period. In the nearby Sandy Plains/Shallowford area the Boston Market was doing bounce back coupons for buy one meal - get one meal —— that’s up to a 6.99 value — (and one our family took advantage of) and up to 50% off. And, within the past month, Arby’s was giving the `RoastBurger’ away with the purchase of a drink (& Quizno’s also gave away it’s small sandwich.)

Couple all this with promotions from the last posting - many of which are still going on in one form or another (including daypart pricing) - and you have a very sensitive price market the likes of which haven’t been seen in a long long time, if ever. Increasingly, `eating out’ is positioned by the media as the one way that Americans are cutting back and saving money. And, again increasingly, the eating out `habit’ is being broken at some level.

Indeed, the extreme multi times a week users (4+ times a week)  - while usually not  a huge element in most fast foods - is largely gone - as these hardest regulars have become part of the once a week users - generally. And, while most of the two times a week or once a week users have hung on in most circumstances - especially in white collar, lunch oriented restaurants - those users are probably most reduced in the evening timeframes.

Probably most affected frequency wise in customer bases are the occasional once a month type users - who have often fallen into the `never use anymore’ or seldom use category - as consumers tighten up into their most favorite choices. NEW customers, once a mainstay at 3-8% of all fast food customers is again - almost nil. (Why waste precious money on places without a proven track record?)

So, with all this - with restaurants of all kinds closing (which does help others who survive in degrees) - with frequency rates dropping - with price pressures at every turn - the question must be asked if this is the bottom to be endured - or - a new normal? (No one wants to think it could be worse - and indeed - as competition closes - the `replacement effect’ of the `new meal occasions’ to be filled in the local market - will modify - to a degree - further downturns.)

Indeed, if the downturn continues for much longer - say - another year (an overly negative view compared to consensus) - we could see some companies go to a more innovative way of pricing their food products. Perhaps combos will once again reflect a real `savings’ as opposed to an easy way to order in a few words. Perhaps we will see the drive thru priced in a different manner - compared to inside customers. Perhaps drinks will become cheaper at the drive-thru (as no re-fills occur).

Indeed, perhaps we will see `customer loyalty’ cards be set at effective levels - buy two combos get one free - for example —- as opposed to cards that required too many uses to motivate a customer base. Or, even `in-store’ contests to motivate the bigger instore spender - or - targeting the very largest purchasers (only) with a `discount’ on that next purchase (setting the level at transactions in the highest 5% total) - showing recognition of these remaining `special’ customers.

Because, as Dylan said, the times,  they are a changin - and, previous practices and marketing approaches - especially if they all sound the same - may have little useful effect. It may take new approaches and new ideas of consumerism to survive to the other side of the downturn - and - it’s not too early to begin to consider such ideas.

Just last month in this post http://restauranttradearearesearch.com/2008/08/02/perfect-demographics-perfect-traffic-counts-closed-restaurant/ I talked about the closing of a Backyard Burgers location at the intersection of Sandy Plains Rd and Hwy 92; and now, sadly - more fast food locations have bitten the dust nearby further `up’ (west) on Hwy 92 nearer to Woodstock.

Both went down about the same time last month - a 15 plus years open KFC; and a Zaxby’s which had been open several years. The KFC was in the midst of many fast food competitors - across the street from McDonald’s and Mrs Winners (Fried Chicken) with Capt’.D’s, Dairy Queen, Burger King and Chick Fil-A within eyesight; in addition to other restaurants within a mile such as Arby’s, Subway, Taco Bell, Wendy’s, Checkers and several sit downs such as Ruby Tuesday and O’Charley’s, Po Folks and several long time non brand restaurant choices. Yes, this was and is a developed area.

But, things change, - the Walmart across from KFC moved 2 miles up the road a few years ago replaced by a 4 day a week furniture wholesaler. The drugstore within the KFC retail pad went empty last month — the same retail pad saw a long standing BBQ location Slopes fold  about a year ago.

Our family used the KFC about once a month; usually for dinner - nearly always thru the drive-thru. Usually for the `dinners’ for 2.99-3.99 - buy three of those and you really felt like you got a sackful. Somehow, the drive-thru never backed up.

So, now, the nearest KFC is about 3.7 miles away, (this was about 2.1) and on our way back from Atlanta up Hwy 5. So, instead of using that one twice in last 5 years — I’ll probably bump into the once every six month category - and also eat at  Mrs Winners more often. Reverse attrition to the survivors.

I wonder if the KFC on Canton Rd will `market’ to the closed KFC’s trade area - I wonder if they have done any trade area surveys - to know that info?

The Zaxby’s closing was equally as surprising and it also was a place our family went to about once every 6 week or so. It was located about 3 miles from our home and we used it for evening eat-in meals (you only deal with Zaxby’s drive thru once) - it had good quality. It was NOT located in a highly concentrated fast food strip but did have local competitors. Indeed, a new chain Kayson’s, opened and shortly after the Zaxby’s was history.

The point of this posting is that the competitive environment is tough and getting tougher. Knowing your local trade area via real marketing research is not a luxury anymore. Indeed, if you do your whole market with a MarketView — you may know which `available’ fast food locations fit your market development plan without overlapping your own existing stores penetration. You will be able to do your own `attrition’ estimates based on trade areas.

Please visit www.squidoo.com/tradeareasurveys for more information about how I can help your marketing decisions.

Today’s Restaurant Links

Krystal’s Offers Up `Sonic-like’ Positioning

http://www.prweb.com/releases/2008/09/prweb1289284.htm  Is this `the idea’ that could make Krystal a player?

`Local Restaurant Dishes Out Manners’

http://www.kcsg.com/news/regional/28032164.html  `The Cell-Phone’ reminder. Quick read. Find out who is using `the reminder’.

`California Moves Closer To NYC-Like Menu Law’

http://www.desertdispatch.com/opinion/state_4250___article.html/mandate_menu.html 

`Fast Food Outlaws’

http://www.smh.com.au/news/world/fastfood-outlaws/2008/09/06/1220121599393.html  A less than flattering look at the USA from our friends down-under.

`Changing Lifestyles and Rising Incomes To Affect Restaurant Sales’

http://www.prweb.com/releases/restaurants_pizza/fast_foods_dining/prweb1302024.htm

The above story is about the GLOBAL MARKET and not the changing lifestyles here in America (less eating out, trading down). Nevertheless an in-depth viewpoint to read.

In my decades of doing Trade Area Research, specializing in `attrition estimates’, — I’ve often done projects that involved market expansion considering new store locations that involved one franchisee vs another. Usually, these project originated with companies in which I was the National Supplier of this service (two national fast food chains) but occasionally not (being known by different franchisee’s in the same market who hired me as an arbitrator/fact finder).

Most national fast food brands have a policy concerning `trade area infringment’ - with the establishment of `what level of attrition’ is `acceptable’ with new store development (those `acceptable’ dollars leaving YOUR pocket and bottom line). And, most fast food brands have a policy of `who pays’ for such research too. Want to find out that type of info? — Then send me an e-mail at southernsurveys@aol.com - describe your situation and I will tell you more specifics (please include a contact phone number).

Today’s Restaurant Links

Brown Bagging at Lunch Hurting Restaurant Sales

http://www.qsrmagazine.com/articles/news/story.phtml?id=6996 —A fantastic, research supported, four minute read with many insights - but, perhaps an exaggerated title about brown baggers as the `increase’ is barely measurable (35 increasing to 38 times (a year?)) and is probably within the range of `plus or minus’ for the two compared surveys. Here’s a quote from the article :

“There are a number of factors adversely affecting the mid-day meal business at restaurants, and brown-bagging is one of them,” says Harry Balzer, vice president, The NPD Group, and author of Eating Patterns in America. “Certainly the economy, growing unemployment, the erosion of disposable personal income, slow-down in number of women entering the workforce, and more telecommuting options are also influencing consumers’ lunchtime behaviors

Frankly, to me, the decrease of sales is likely the erosion of disposable income and telecommuting - brown bagging is the result as opposed to a cause. Indeed, for consumers living in under-penetrated fast food markets (one FF several miles away) the increase in GAS prices is probably a factor too. After all, the 3.99 combo is REALLY 5.99 if the roundtrip is 10 miles and you get 20 miles a gallon.

The reality of smaller trade areas is increasing - and - not just because of the gas price — I will talk more about that in future posts.

KFC’s Vegetarian Sandwich - Isn’t

http://consumerist.com/5027777/kfcs-vegetarian-sandwich-isnt-stop-kidding-yourself-that-fast-food-restaurants-have-vegetarian-options  I almost had to laugh at this article due to the HARD vegetarian position. Indeed, make sure to read the comments as they are most insightful.

Drive-Thru Reseach Study 2007

http://www.qsrmagazine.com/reports/drive-thru_time_study/  This is a MUST read about how different fast food brands are dealing with Drive-thru business - vital, of course, to nearly all FF and the bottom line. This is not a short read but worth it. Here’s a sample table: